Find the dead money in reception props.
A receptions model projects catches for every WR, TE and RB, prices each prop against the sportsbook market, and builds its ten best 2-leg parlays every week. Rip the pack to see them.
- 10
- ranked 2-leg parlays every week
- 3
- free packs · Tue · Wed · Fri
- Every leg
- model %, fair price & projection
Sample card · tap to flip
Free packs
3 free packs, every week
One drops Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. Each holds a parlay from the model's top 10 — pull the #1 and it's legendary.
- Legendary#15%
- Epic#2–310%
- Uncommon#4–535%
- Common#6–1050%
Free every week — create a free account (no card) to rip your packs. VIP gets all ten parlays.
Sign up freeThe system
No vibes. Just the model.
DeadMoneyVault is a model, not a guy with a hot take. Here's the pipeline behind every card.
The model projects every pass-catcher
A gradient-boosted receptions model reads target share, routes, matchup, coverage, game script and injuries to project a full reception distribution for every WR, TE and RB on the slate.
It's priced against the market
Each projection becomes a probability anchored to the de-vigged sportsbook price, so the model only leans away from the market where years of history say it's worth it — never on a hunch.
The best pairs become your packs
Legs priced at or above the market's fair value are paired into 2-leg parlays paying +100 to +300 — same-game pairs priced for correlation — and the ten best by expected value become the week's board. That's what's inside the packs.
Pricing
Start free. Go VIP for the whole board.
Three packs a week are free, forever. VIP opens every parlay the model builds.
Free
Three packs a week, free forever. No card required.
- 3 packs a week — Tue · Wed · Fri at 10 AM ET
- Each pack deals one of the week's top-10 parlays
- The full card on every leg: projection, model %, fair price
VIP
The whole board, every week.
- All 10 ranked parlays, every week
- Thursday & Monday night same-game parlays
- Model probability, fair price & projected receptions on every leg
- Stake guide (¼ Kelly) on each leg
- Cancel anytime from your account
$25 billed monthly and renews automatically until you cancel. Cancel anytime in your account; access runs to the end of the paid month. 21+.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What is DeadMoneyVault?
DeadMoneyVault is an NFL analytics site that publishes weekly reception-prop parlays built by a receptions model. Each week the model ranks its ten best 2-leg parlays. Free members open three packs a week (Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday), each dealing one of those parlays; VIP members see all ten plus the Thursday and Monday night same-game parlays. It is an information service — we don't take bets.
What are NFL reception props?
A reception prop is a bet on how many passes a player catches in a game, posted as a line like 4.5 with Over/Under prices. Over 4.5 wins at 5 or more catches; Under 4.5 wins at 4 or fewer. Books also post alternate lines (2.5+, 3.5+ …) at different prices.
How does the model build its picks?
It projects a full distribution of catches for every WR, TE and RB from target share, routes, matchup, game script and injury news, then anchors that probability to the de-vigged sportsbook price. Only legs priced at or above the market's fair probability are used; they're paired into 2-leg parlays paying +100 to +300 (same-game pairs are priced for correlation) and the ten best by expected value become the week's board.
How do the packs and rarity tiers work?
A parlay's rarity comes from its rank on the week's board: #1 is Legendary, #2–3 Epic, #4–5 Uncommon, #6–10 Common. Each free pack draws a tier at 50% Common, 35% Uncommon, 10% Epic and 5% Legendary, then one parlay from that tier. Packs are free, can't be bought, and never repeat a parlay in the same week. Rarity reflects the model's ranking, not a guarantee.
Do you show a win-loss record?
No. DeadMoneyVault publishes picks, not a scoreboard — the site doesn't display win-loss records, ROI or results claims. Treat every pick as the model's read of the market, not a promise.
Will these picks make me money?
There's no guarantee, and anyone who promises betting profits isn't being honest. Sports betting carries real risk of loss, parlays compound the sportsbook's margin, and losing weeks are normal. Only bet what you can afford to lose.
Is this legal?
DeadMoneyVault is an information and analytics service — we don't accept, place or broker wagers. Packs are free content with no purchase necessary. You place any bet yourself with a licensed sportsbook where that's legal for you. You must be 21 or older.
What do I get for free vs. VIP?
Free: three packs a week, each dealing one of the week's top-10 parlays with the full card on every leg. VIP ($25/month, cancel anytime): all ten ranked parlays every week, the Thursday and Monday night same-game parlays, and the stake guide on every leg.
Is DeadMoneyVault affiliated with the NFL?
No. DeadMoneyVault is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by the NFL, the NFLPA, any team or any sportsbook. Team and player names are used only to identify the games and props being analyzed.
Stop guessing. Start ripping.
Free packs drop Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. See which reception parlays the model likes this week.
See this week's packs