Today's edges
CHANDLERVIP·MCLEANVIP·DEGROMU7.5+16.9%·FEDDEO3.5+7.4%·CHANDLERVIP·MCLEANVIP·DEGROMU7.5+16.9%·FEDDEO3.5+7.4%·
DeadMoneyVault
Every pick graded against the closing line

Find the dead money in strikeout props.

A machine-learning pitching model projects strikeouts for every starter, compares them to the market, and surfaces only the bets with a real mathematical edge. You get the plays — and the receipts.

+4.1%
Backtest ROI
54.1%
Win rate
1,840
Graded plays

Live slate

Today's board

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

See the full slate →

Jacob deGrom

Pending
Under 7.5Ks
-175
Edge
+16.9%
Proj Ks
6.1
Stake
7.4u
Model
74%
Fair
60%
vs Mkt
+10.8pt

Erick Fedde

Pending
Over 3.5Ks
+118
Edge
+7.4%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
1.6u
Model
49%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt

Bubba Chandler

Pending

VIP play

Unlock slate

2 VIP plays live on today's board. Unlock the full slate →

The system

No vibes. Just edges.

DeadMoneyVault is a model, not a guy with a hot take. Here's the pipeline behind every play.

01

The model projects every starter

A gradient-boosted pitching model ingests matchup, plate-discipline, park, umpire, weather, and rest signals to project a full strikeout distribution for each scheduled starter.

02

We compare it to the market

Each projection is converted to a fair probability, then measured against the de-vigged sportsbook line. Only spots where the model and market disagree enough to clear the vig survive.

03

You get the edges — and the stake

Surviving plays are ranked by expected value with a Kelly-sized stake, so you know not just what to bet but how much. Then every pick is graded against the closing line.

Proof, not promises

The receipts.

Closing-line value is the honest scoreboard — it shows we're beating the number the sharpest money settles on, not just getting lucky.

Backtested — live verification in progress
+4.1%
Backtest ROI
54.1%
Win rate
+75.4u
Net units
+1.8%
Avg CLV

Based on 1,840 graded plays as of Saturday, June 27, 2026. These figures reflect backtested performance during live validation and are not a guarantee of future results.

Pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you're convinced.

Watch the free plays hit the closing line for a week. The math will do the selling.

Free

$0forever

A daily taste of the model. No card required.

  • 1–2 graded free plays every slate
  • Full public track record & CLV
  • Methodology breakdown
View today's free picks
Most popular

VIP

$49/ month

The full slate, ranked by edge, with Kelly stakes.

  • Every +EV play, every day
  • Kelly-sized stake on each pick
  • Model probability, fair line & projected Ks
  • Early-morning slate + lineup-confirmed updates
  • Bet-by-bet results ledger
  • Or $399 / year (save 32%)
Join the VIP waitlist

Payments launch shortly — join the waitlist and lock in founding-member pricing.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are MLB strikeout props?

A strikeout prop is a bet on how many batters a starting pitcher will strike out, set as a line like 6.5 with Over/Under odds. DeadMoneyVault projects each starter's strikeouts and flags the side where the model has a measurable edge over the sportsbook line.

How does the model find an edge?

It projects a full strikeout distribution for every scheduled starter from matchup, plate-discipline, park, umpire, weather and rest data, converts that to a fair probability, and compares it to the de-vigged market line. Only spots that clear the vig with margin to spare become picks.

How are picks graded?

Every pick is logged before first pitch and graded against the actual result and the closing line. We publish closing-line value (CLV) because beating the closing number is the most reliable long-run signal that an edge is real rather than lucky.

Do you guarantee I'll make money?

No. Anyone who guarantees gambling profits is lying. Betting carries risk and variance means losing stretches are normal even with a real edge. We give you the model's edges and a transparent, graded track record so you can decide for yourself.

Is this legal?

DeadMoneyVault is an information and analytics service — we don't take bets or handle wagers. You place any bets yourself with a licensed sportsbook where legal. You must be 21+ and within a jurisdiction that permits sports wagering.

What do I get for free vs. VIP?

Free members see one to two graded plays each slate plus the full public track record. VIP unlocks the complete daily slate ranked by expected value, with a Kelly-sized stake, model probability, fair line and projected strikeouts for every play.

Stop guessing. Start grading.

Today's free plays are already posted. See where the model disagrees with the market.

See today's edges