The playbook
Learn the game
The concepts behind every pick — what reception props are, how the model and the packs work, and the math of pricing and bankroll. No jargon, no fluff.
How DeadMoneyVault Packs and Rarity Work
Three free packs a week, each dealing one of the model's top-10 NFL reception parlays. The drop schedule, the rarity tiers and the exact pull odds.
Read guide →How the DeadMoneyVault Receptions Model Works
The methodology behind DeadMoneyVault's NFL picks: a catch-count distribution model, a market-anchored probability, and strict rules for building 2-leg parlays.
Read guide →How to Bet NFL Reception Props: A Model-First Approach
Project the catch distribution, compare it to the de-vigged price, respect the market, and size small. A practical process for NFL reception props — and parlays.
Read guide →What Are NFL Reception Props? A Beginner's Guide
NFL reception props are over/under bets on how many passes a player catches. Here's how the lines, alternate ladders and prices work — and how to read them.
Read guide →The Kelly Criterion for Sports Betting, Explained
The Kelly criterion tells you how much to bet based on your edge. Here's the formula, a worked reception-prop example, and why smart bettors use fractional Kelly.
Read guide →What Is Closing Line Value (CLV) and Why It Matters
Closing line value measures whether you're beating the market's final price. Here's what CLV is, how to calculate it, and why it's the truest test of a betting edge.
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