Today's edges
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DeadMoneyVault

Strikeout edges — Saturday, September 5, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result9-9Kelly-2.01u

Evening

9 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Anthony Kay

CWS · 7:11 PM ET

win
Under 3.5Ks
+131
Final3 K
Edge
+6.9%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
0.3u
Model
46%
Fair
39%
vs Mkt
+3.0pt

VIP plays

Parker Messick

CLE · 6:11 PM ET

loss
Under 6.5Ks
-146
Final12 K
Edge
+30.9%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
2.0u
Model
78%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+18.4pt

Dustin May

MIL · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Over 5.5Ks
+102
Final5 K
Edge
+14.8%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
0.7u
Model
57%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+7.4pt

Framber Valdez

DET · 6:11 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-140
Final3 K
Edge
+14.7%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
1.0u
Model
67%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+8.6pt

Zack Wheeler

PHI · 6:06 PM ET

loss
Under 6.5Ks
-118
Final9 K
Edge
+14.0%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
0.8u
Model
62%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+7.6pt

Anthony Molina

SF · 4:11 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
+112
Final6 K
Edge
+13.1%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
0.6u
Model
53%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+6.2pt

Drew Rasmussen

TB · 7:06 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
+100
Final7 K
Edge
+13.0%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
0.7u
Model
56%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+6.5pt

Yusei Kikuchi

LAA · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-113
Final6 K
Edge
+7.7%
Proj Ks
5.2
Stake
0.4u
Model
57%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+4.1pt

Max Scherzer

TOR · 7:11 PM ET

loss
Over 3.5Ks
-106
Final2 K
Edge
+7.3%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
0.4u
Model
55%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+3.8pt

Late

9 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Cade Cavalli

WSH · 9:11 PM ET

win
Over 5.5Ks
-118
Final8 K
Edge
+5.4%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
0.3u
Model
57%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+2.9pt

VIP plays

Jacob deGrom

TEX · 7:06 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-135
Final7 K
Edge
+22.0%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.5u
Model
70%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+12.6pt

Brandon Pfaadt

AZ · 7:16 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
-149
Final4 K
Edge
+20.0%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
1.5u
Model
72%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+11.9pt

Robbie Ray

SD · 7:16 PM ET

win
Under 5.5Ks
-120
Final1 K
Edge
+19.6%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
1.2u
Model
65%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+10.7pt

Sonny Gray

BOS · 7:06 PM ET

win
Over 5.5Ks
-105
Final7 K
Edge
+12.0%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
0.6u
Model
57%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+6.2pt

Braxton Ashcraft

PIT · 6:41 PM ET

win
Over 5.5Ks
-140
Final9 K
Edge
+11.9%
Proj Ks
6.5
Stake
0.8u
Model
65%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+7.0pt

Tyler Glasnow

LAD · 9:11 PM ET

loss
Under 7.5Ks
-135
Final8 K
Edge
+9.5%
Proj Ks
6.8
Stake
0.6u
Model
63%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+5.4pt

Seth Lugo

KC · 7:11 PM ET

win
Under 3.5Ks
-138
Final1 K
Edge
+9.1%
Proj Ks
3.1
Stake
0.6u
Model
63%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+5.3pt

Chris Bassitt

BAL · 7:06 PM ET

loss
Under 4.5Ks
-132
Final6 K
Edge
+7.5%
Proj Ks
4.1
Stake
0.5u
Model
61%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+4.3pt

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