Today's edges
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DeadMoneyVault

Strikeout edges — Monday, July 6, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result3-5Flat-2.79uKelly-27.87u

Evening

2 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Mike Burrows

HOU · 6:46 PM ET

loss
Over 3.5Ks
-144
Final3 K
Edge
+21.8%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
7.8u
Model
72%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+12.9pt

VIP play

Cam Schlittler

NYY · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Under 6.5Ks
-146
Final8 K
Edge
+24.6%
Proj Ks
5.2
Stake
9.0u
Model
74%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+14.6pt

Late

6 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Brandon Pfaadt

AZ · 9:41 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
-120
Final6 K
Edge
+7.4%
Proj Ks
4.0
Stake
2.2u
Model
59%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+4.0pt

VIP plays

Griffin Jax

TB · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-114
Final10 K
Edge
+51.4%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
14.6u
Model
81%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+27.4pt

Eric Lauer

LAD · 10:11 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-127
Final3 K
Edge
+36.3%
Proj Ks
3.3
Stake
11.5u
Model
76%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+20.3pt

Kevin Gausman

TOR · 9:46 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-124
Final8 K
Edge
+32.9%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
10.2u
Model
74%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+18.2pt

Walker Buehler

SD · 9:41 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-171
Final4 K
Edge
+32.2%
Proj Ks
2.9
Stake
13.8u
Model
83%
Fair
60%
vs Mkt
+20.3pt

Freddy Peralta

NYM · 7:16 PM ET

loss
Under 4.5Ks
+124
Final6 K
Edge
+25.6%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
5.2u
Model
56%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+11.4pt

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