Today's edges
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DeadMoneyVault

Strikeout edges — Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result8-8Flat-0.79uKelly+1.57u

Evening

7 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Max Meyer

MIA · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Over 6.5Ks
+118
Final4 K
Edge
+6.4%
Proj Ks
6.5
Stake
1.4u
Model
49%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+2.9pt

VIP plays

Zack Wheeler

PHI · 7:10 PM ET

win
Over 7.5Ks
+120
Final14 K
Edge
+46.7%
Proj Ks
8.7
Stake
9.7u
Model
67%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+21.2pt

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL · 2:16 PM ET

loss
Under 7.5Ks
-110
Final11 K
Edge
+24.7%
Proj Ks
6.6
Stake
6.8u
Model
65%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+12.9pt

Shane Baz

BAL · 6:36 PM ET

loss
Over 5.5Ks
+125
Final3 K
Edge
+22.8%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
4.6u
Model
55%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+10.2pt

Will Warren

NYY · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Over 4.5Ks
+105
Final3 K
Edge
+17.1%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
4.1u
Model
57%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+8.3pt

Payton Tolle

BOS · 7:41 PM ET

win
Over 5.5Ks
-115
Final6 K
Edge
+10.6%
Proj Ks
6.2
Stake
3.0u
Model
59%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+5.6pt

Robert Gasser

MIL · 7:46 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-120
Final4 K
Edge
+7.8%
Proj Ks
4.2
Stake
2.3u
Model
59%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+4.2pt

Late

9 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Andrew Abbott

CIN · 7:10 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-154
Final8 K
Edge
+5.4%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
2.1u
Model
64%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+3.3pt

VIP plays

Ian Seymour

TB · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-103
Final12 K
Edge
+34.6%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
8.9u
Model
68%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+17.6pt

Zac Gallen

AZ · 9:41 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
-145
Final5 K
Edge
+31.8%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
11.5u
Model
78%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+18.9pt

Michael Lorenzen

COL · 10:11 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
-129
Final5 K
Edge
+23.7%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
7.6u
Model
70%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+13.4pt

Tarik Skubal

DET · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Under 8.5Ks
-143
Final9 K
Edge
+19.1%
Proj Ks
7.3
Stake
6.8u
Model
70%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+11.2pt

Justin Wrobleski

LAD · 10:11 PM ET

win
Over 5.5Ks
+123
Final9 K
Edge
+13.8%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
2.8u
Model
51%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+6.2pt

Joey Cantillo

CLE · 7:41 PM ET

win
Over 4.5Ks
-155
Final7 K
Edge
+10.9%
Proj Ks
5.6
Stake
4.2u
Model
67%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+6.6pt

Jacob deGrom

TEX · 8:06 PM ET

loss
Over 7.5Ks
-108
Final7 K
Edge
+6.6%
Proj Ks
7.9
Stake
1.8u
Model
55%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt

Andrew Alvarez

WSH · 6:46 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-103
Final3 K
Edge
+6.4%
Proj Ks
4.4
Stake
1.7u
Model
54%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+3.3pt

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