Today's edges
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DeadMoneyVault

Strikeout edges — Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result8-6Kelly-2.54u

Evening

5 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Corbin Burnes

AZ · 7:40 PM ET

win
Under 3.5Ks
-182
Final2 K
Edge
+8.3%
Proj Ks
2.8
Stake
0.8u
Model
70%
Fair
61%
vs Mkt
+5.3pt

VIP plays

Patrick Sandoval

BOS · 6:46 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
+121
Final7 K
Edge
+55.3%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
2.0u
Model
70%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+25.0pt

Hayden Wesneski

HOU · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Over 3.5Ks
-122
Final3 K
Edge
+25.3%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
1.6u
Model
69%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+13.9pt

Sean Manaea

NYM · 6:41 PM ET

win
Under 5.5Ks
-141
Final4 K
Edge
+18.7%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.3u
Model
69%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+10.9pt

Reid Detmers

LAA · 6:46 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
+120
Final9 K
Edge
+16.3%
Proj Ks
5.5
Stake
0.7u
Model
53%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+7.4pt

Late

9 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Casey Mize

SD · 9:41 PM ET

win
Over 4.5Ks
-104
Final7 K
Edge
+5.3%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
0.2u
Model
54%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+2.7pt

VIP plays

Cam Schlittler

NYY · 7:06 PM ET

loss
Under 7.5Ks
+118
Final10 K
Edge
+66.5%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
1.8u
Model
76%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+30.5pt

Bubba Chandler

PIT · 7:41 PM ET

win
Over 4.5Ks
+105
Final8 K
Edge
+39.4%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
1.2u
Model
68%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+19.2pt

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL · 7:41 PM ET

loss
Under 8.5Ks
-146
Final9 K
Edge
+39.1%
Proj Ks
6.3
Stake
1.9u
Model
83%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+23.2pt

AJ Smith-Shawver

ATL · 7:16 PM ET

win
Under 3.5Ks
+111
Final3 K
Edge
+36.4%
Proj Ks
3.0
Stake
1.1u
Model
65%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+17.2pt

Michael Wacha

KC · 7:40 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
-155
Final4 K
Edge
+24.9%
Proj Ks
3.3
Stake
1.3u
Model
76%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+15.1pt

Sean Burke

CWS · 7:41 PM ET

win
Under 6.5Ks
-105
Final2 K
Edge
+17.2%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
0.6u
Model
60%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+8.8pt

Brandon Young

BAL · 6:36 PM ET

win
Under 3.5Ks
+119
Final2 K
Edge
+11.2%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
0.3u
Model
51%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+5.1pt

Drew Anderson

DET · 6:41 PM ET

loss
Over 4.5Ks
-115
Final4 K
Edge
+9.3%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
0.4u
Model
58%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+5.0pt

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