Parker Messick
CLE · 7:16 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-165Final6 K
Edge
+27.1%
Proj Ks
4.0
Stake
2.0u
Model
79%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+16.9pt
Strikeout edges — Saturday, August 1, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result6-9Kelly-4.61u
Evening
5 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP plays
loss
Tyler Phillips
MIA · 4:11 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+105Final3 K
Edge
+19.5%
Proj Ks
4.0
Stake
0.9u
Model
58%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+9.5pt
Drew Rasmussen
TB · 4:11 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+123Final10 K
Edge
+17.0%
Proj Ks
5.5
Stake
0.7u
Model
52%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+7.6pt
Miles Mikolas
WSH · 7:16 PM ET
Over 2.5Ks
-102Final3 K
Edge
+14.0%
Proj Ks
3.0
Stake
0.7u
Model
58%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+7.1pt
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · 6:41 PM ET
Over 6.5Ks
-110Final5 K
Edge
+12.8%
Proj Ks
7.2
Stake
0.7u
Model
59%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+6.7pt
Late
10 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
Max Fried
NYY · 7:16 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-170Final7 K
Edge
+11.4%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
0.9u
Model
70%
Fair
60%
vs Mkt
+7.2pt
Jack Perkins
ATH · 9:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-106Final9 K
Edge
+9.0%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
0.4u
Model
56%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+4.7pt
VIP plays
Luinder Avila
KC · 8:10 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-138Final2 K
Edge
+23.8%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
1.5u
Model
72%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+13.8pt
Payton Tolle
BOS · 9:11 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
+116Final7 K
Edge
+23.3%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
0.9u
Model
57%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+10.8pt
Ronel Blanco
HOU · 7:11 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-143Final4 K
Edge
+19.0%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.2u
Model
70%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+11.2pt
Walker Buehler
SD · 8:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-152Final1 K
Edge
+19.0%
Proj Ks
3.5
Stake
1.3u
Model
72%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+11.4pt
Robert Gasser
MIL · 9:39 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-154Final6 K
Edge
+16.0%
Proj Ks
5.8
Stake
1.1u
Model
70%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+9.7pt
David Peterson
CHC · 7:16 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-175Final8 K
Edge
+14.8%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
1.2u
Model
73%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+9.5pt
Framber Valdez
DET · 9:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+110Final6 K
Edge
+12.8%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
0.5u
Model
54%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+6.1pt
Ryan Feltner
COL · 8:10 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-142Final3 K
Edge
+12.7%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
0.8u
Model
66%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+7.5pt