Payton Tolle
BOS · 7:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+110Final14 K
Edge
+45.1%
Proj Ks
5.5
Stake
2.0u
Model
69%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+21.5pt
Strikeout edges — Friday, August 7, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result4-9Kelly-6.31u
Evening
2 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP plays
loss
Kyle Leahy
STL · 8:16 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-103Final8 K
Edge
+12.9%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
0.7u
Model
57%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+6.6pt
Late
11 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
Keider Montero
DET · 10:16 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-135Final5 K
Edge
+9.0%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
0.5u
Model
63%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+5.2pt
Shane Baz
BAL · 8:16 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
+117Final9 K
Edge
+5.9%
Proj Ks
5.6
Stake
0.2u
Model
49%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+2.7pt
VIP plays
Nathan Eovaldi
TEX · 8:16 PM ET
Under 7.5Ks
-127Final2 K
Edge
+50.5%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
2.0u
Model
84%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+28.3pt
Ryan Feltner
COL · 8:16 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+116Final2 K
Edge
+42.5%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.5u
Model
66%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+19.7pt
Parker Messick
CLE · 7:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+125Final8 K
Edge
+33.7%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
1.1u
Model
59%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+15.0pt
Zack Wheeler
PHI · 7:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-149Final6 K
Edge
+32.0%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
1.9u
Model
79%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+19.1pt
Cade Cavalli
WSH · 7:21 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-140Final8 K
Edge
+24.7%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
1.4u
Model
73%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+14.4pt
Jack Perkins
ATH · 7:11 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-112Final3 K
Edge
+17.2%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
0.8u
Model
62%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+9.1pt
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · 6:41 PM ET
Over 2.5Ks
-165Final1 K
Edge
+13.7%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
0.9u
Model
71%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+8.5pt
Max Fried
NYY · 7:31 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-150Final7 K
Edge
+13.0%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
0.8u
Model
68%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+7.8pt
Zebby Matthews
MIN · 7:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-135Final4 K
Edge
+11.2%
Proj Ks
5.4
Stake
0.6u
Model
64%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+6.4pt