Zack Wheeler
PHI · 2:15 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-155Final5 K
Edge
+8.6%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
0.7u
Model
66%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+5.2pt
Strikeout edges — Wednesday, August 12, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result8-8Kelly-1.63u
Midday
1 playDay games · lineups confirmed
VIP play
win
Evening
9 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
Free play
Bryce Miller
SEA · 7:05 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
-108Final5 K
Edge
+5.1%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
0.3u
Model
55%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+2.6pt
VIP plays
Merrill Kelly
AZ · 3:40 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+114Final2 K
Edge
+38.8%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
1.5u
Model
65%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+18.2pt
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · 6:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-109Final1 K
Edge
+28.5%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.4u
Model
67%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+14.9pt
Janson Junk
MIA · 6:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-159Final2 K
Edge
+18.6%
Proj Ks
3.5
Stake
1.3u
Model
73%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+11.4pt
Robbie Ray
SD · 4:10 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-165Final4 K
Edge
+17.8%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
1.3u
Model
73%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+11.1pt
Framber Valdez
DET · 6:40 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-122Final3 K
Edge
+15.7%
Proj Ks
4.0
Stake
0.9u
Model
64%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+8.6pt
Ryan Feltner
COL · 3:40 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+128Final2 K
Edge
+15.5%
Proj Ks
3.7
Stake
0.5u
Model
51%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+6.8pt
Dustin May
MIL · 4:10 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+115Final6 K
Edge
+14.5%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
0.6u
Model
53%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+6.8pt
Will Warren
NYY · 7:05 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+113Final3 K
Edge
+12.1%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
0.5u
Model
53%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+5.7pt
Late
6 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free play
Foster Griffin
CLE · 6:40 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-156Final3 K
Edge
+8.2%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
0.5u
Model
66%
Fair
58%
vs Mkt
+5.0pt
VIP plays
Rhett Lowder
CIN · 7:40 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+125Final4 K
Edge
+33.3%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
1.0u
Model
59%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+14.8pt
Luis Castillo
CWS · 7:40 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-111Final10 K
Edge
+30.6%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
1.2u
Model
69%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+16.1pt
Eric Lauer
LAD · 10:10 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-140Final6 K
Edge
+28.0%
Proj Ks
3.4
Stake
1.4u
Model
75%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+16.3pt
Tyler Mahle
ATL · 7:15 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-140Final7 K
Edge
+26.1%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
1.3u
Model
74%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+15.2pt
David Peterson
CHC · 6:45 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+116Final6 K
Edge
+18.7%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
0.6u
Model
55%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+8.6pt