Luis Castillo
SEA · 7:11 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-128Final4 K
Edge
+5.5%
Proj Ks
4.2
Stake
1.8u
Model
59%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+3.1pt
Strikeout edges — Friday, July 10, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result9-7Kelly+2.60u· 2 DNP
Evening
8 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
Free play
win
VIP plays
Luinder Avila
KC · 7:06 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+131Final3 K
Edge
+34.7%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
6.6u
Model
58%
Fair
40%
vs Mkt
+15.0pt
Aaron Nola
PHI · 6:41 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
+106Final8 K
Edge
+21.4%
Proj Ks
6.1
Stake
5.1u
Model
59%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+10.4pt
Parker Messick
CLE · 7:11 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-106Final1 K
Edge
+19.1%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
5.1u
Model
61%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+9.8pt
Brandon Young
BAL · 7:06 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-115Final5 K
Edge
+14.8%
Proj Ks
4.1
Stake
4.2u
Model
61%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+7.9pt
Grayson Rodriguez
LAA · 8:11 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-150Final0 K
Edge
+11.5%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
4.3u
Model
67%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+6.9pt
Ryan Weathers
NYY · 6:46 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
+121Final6 K
Edge
+8.8%
Proj Ks
5.6
Stake
1.8u
Model
49%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+4.0pt
Brandon Sproat
MIL · 6:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-165Edge
+6.0%
Proj Ks
5.5
Stake
2.5u
Model
66%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+3.7pt
Late
10 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free play
Chris Sale
ATL · 8:16 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-141Final5 K
Edge
+5.9%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
2.1u
Model
62%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt
VIP plays
Sonny Gray
BOS · 7:50 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+101Final3 K
Edge
+47.5%
Proj Ks
4.4
Stake
11.8u
Model
73%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+23.6pt
Jack Flaherty
DET · 6:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+110Final6 K
Edge
+34.7%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
7.9u
Model
64%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+16.5pt
Robbie Ray
SF · 10:16 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-124Final4 K
Edge
+23.4%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
7.3u
Model
68%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+13.0pt
Nolan McLean
NYM · 7:50 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+100Final7 K
Edge
+22.2%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
5.6u
Model
61%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+11.1pt
Hunter Greene
CIN · 7:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-120Final12 K
Edge
+20.5%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
6.1u
Model
66%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+11.2pt
Shane Bieber
TOR · 9:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+128Final4 K
Edge
+18.3%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
3.6u
Model
52%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+8.0pt
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · 6:50 PM ET
Over 6.5Ks
+125Edge
+17.5%
Proj Ks
6.7
Stake
3.5u
Model
52%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+7.8pt
Hunter Brown
HOU · 8:06 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+117Final4 K
Edge
+17.0%
Proj Ks
5.4
Stake
3.6u
Model
54%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+7.9pt
Sean Burke
CWS · 7:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+105Final9 K
Edge
+14.4%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
3.4u
Model
56%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+7.1pt