Robert Gasser
MIL · 12:16 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-140Final3 K
Edge
+5.7%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
2.0u
Model
62%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+3.3pt
Strikeout edges — Sunday, July 12, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result10-5Kelly+24.19u
Midday
12 playsDay games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
loss
Taj Bradley
MIN · 2:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-104Final6 K
Edge
+5.3%
Proj Ks
6.4
Stake
1.4u
Model
54%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+2.7pt
VIP plays
Dustin May
STL · 2:16 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+110Final4 K
Edge
+51.1%
Proj Ks
3.5
Stake
11.6u
Model
72%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+24.3pt
Tarik Skubal
DET · 1:41 PM ET
Under 7.5Ks
+107Final5 K
Edge
+39.5%
Proj Ks
6.5
Stake
9.2u
Model
67%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+19.1pt
Payton Tolle
BOS · 1:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-143Final7 K
Edge
+28.2%
Proj Ks
6.2
Stake
10.1u
Model
75%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+16.6pt
Emerson Hancock
SEA · 1:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+134Final2 K
Edge
+27.6%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
5.1u
Model
55%
Fair
40%
vs Mkt
+11.8pt
Cade Cavalli
WSH · 1:36 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-116Final5 K
Edge
+26.7%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
7.8u
Model
68%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+14.3pt
Tyler Phillips
MIA · 1:41 PM ET
Over 2.5Ks
-167Final1 K
Edge
+17.9%
Proj Ks
3.7
Stake
7.5u
Model
74%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+11.2pt
Paul Skenes
PIT · 12:16 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+115Final7 K
Edge
+15.7%
Proj Ks
6.4
Stake
3.4u
Model
54%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+7.3pt
Seth Lugo
KC · 1:36 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-106Final6 K
Edge
+8.6%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
2.3u
Model
56%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+4.4pt
Ian Seymour
TB · 1:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+108Final3 K
Edge
+6.8%
Proj Ks
5.5
Stake
1.6u
Model
51%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+3.3pt
Andrew Abbott
CIN · 1:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-110Final3 K
Edge
+6.6%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
1.8u
Model
56%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt
Evening
3 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP plays
Emmet Sheehan
LAD · 4:11 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-163Final7 K
Edge
+12.8%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
5.2u
Model
70%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+7.9pt
Michael Lorenzen
COL · 4:06 PM ET
Under 3.5Ks
+106Final1 K
Edge
+9.3%
Proj Ks
3.5
Stake
2.2u
Model
53%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+4.5pt
Kevin Gausman
TOR · 4:11 PM ET
Over 5.5Ks
+100Final8 K
Edge
+7.5%
Proj Ks
5.8
Stake
1.9u
Model
54%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+3.8pt