Justin Wrobleski
LAD · 6:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-118Final7 K
Edge
+13.8%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
4.1u
Model
62%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+7.5pt
Strikeout edges — Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result8-9Kelly+8.05u
Evening
1 playNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP play
loss
Late
16 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
Drew Rasmussen
TB · 7:08 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-101Final5 K
Edge
+6.8%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
1.7u
Model
54%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt
Matthew Liberatore
STL · 9:39 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-152Final7 K
Edge
+6.1%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
2.3u
Model
64%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+3.7pt
VIP plays
Brandon Sproat
MIL · 7:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+136Final4 K
Edge
+57.0%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
10.5u
Model
67%
Fair
39%
vs Mkt
+24.2pt
Kumar Rocker
TEX · 8:06 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+122Final6 K
Edge
+44.9%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
9.2u
Model
65%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+20.2pt
Luis Castillo
SEA · 9:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-102Final3 K
Edge
+42.4%
Proj Ks
4.4
Stake
10.8u
Model
72%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+21.4pt
Zack Wheeler
PHI · 7:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+102Final9 K
Edge
+29.8%
Proj Ks
5.8
Stake
7.3u
Model
64%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+14.7pt
Tyler Phillips
MIA · 8:11 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+105Final2 K
Edge
+26.0%
Proj Ks
4.2
Stake
6.2u
Model
61%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+12.7pt
Jack Perkins
ATH · 9:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-117Final4 K
Edge
+23.6%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
6.9u
Model
67%
Fair
51%
vs Mkt
+12.7pt
David Peterson
CHC · 8:06 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-128Final4 K
Edge
+21.6%
Proj Ks
3.7
Stake
6.9u
Model
68%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+12.1pt
Parker Messick
CLE · 6:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-115Final6 K
Edge
+20.5%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
5.9u
Model
64%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+11.0pt
Walker Buehler
SD · 7:16 PM ET
Under 3.5Ks
+130Final3 K
Edge
+18.8%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
3.6u
Model
52%
Fair
40%
vs Mkt
+8.2pt
Tyler Mahle
SF · 7:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+132Final4 K
Edge
+15.6%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
2.9u
Model
50%
Fair
40%
vs Mkt
+6.7pt
Luinder Avila
KC · 7:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-140Final7 K
Edge
+13.6%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
4.7u
Model
66%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+7.9pt
Kevin Gausman
TOR · 7:08 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-126Final1 K
Edge
+13.2%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
4.2u
Model
63%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+7.4pt
Framber Valdez
DET · 8:06 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+105Final1 K
Edge
+10.8%
Proj Ks
4.4
Stake
2.6u
Model
54%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+5.2pt
Michael Lorenzen
COL · 8:41 PM ET
Under 3.5Ks
-111Final5 K
Edge
+9.1%
Proj Ks
3.3
Stake
2.5u
Model
57%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+4.8pt