Chase Burns
CIN · 1:41 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-125Final4 K
Edge
+13.6%
Proj Ks
5.8
Stake
4.2u
Model
63%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+7.5pt
Strikeout edges — Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result5-8Kelly-18.71u
Midday
1 playDay games · lineups confirmed
VIP play
win
Evening
3 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP plays
Gerrit Cole
NYY · 7:41 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-128Final7 K
Edge
+12.7%
Proj Ks
5.8
Stake
4.1u
Model
63%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+7.1pt
Bubba Chandler
PIT · 6:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-167Final3 K
Edge
+8.2%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
3.4u
Model
68%
Fair
59%
vs Mkt
+5.1pt
Dean Kremer
BAL · 6:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+120Final4 K
Edge
+6.2%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
1.3u
Model
48%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+2.8pt
Late
9 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
Seth Lugo
KC · 7:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-150Final2 K
Edge
+5.6%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
2.1u
Model
63%
Fair
56%
vs Mkt
+3.4pt
Troy Melton
DET · 6:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
+110Final5 K
Edge
+5.6%
Proj Ks
5.6
Stake
1.3u
Model
50%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+2.7pt
VIP plays
Cade Cavalli
WSH · 7:46 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-110Final3 K
Edge
+24.9%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
6.9u
Model
65%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+13.0pt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZ · 6:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-155Final4 K
Edge
+24.3%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
9.4u
Model
76%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+14.8pt
Taj Bradley
MIN · 7:41 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-134Final10 K
Edge
+23.7%
Proj Ks
5.4
Stake
8.0u
Model
71%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+13.6pt
Colin Rea
CHC · 7:46 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+110Final2 K
Edge
+22.1%
Proj Ks
4.1
Stake
5.0u
Model
58%
Fair
44%
vs Mkt
+10.5pt
Logan Henderson
MIL · 9:46 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-120Final7 K
Edge
+21.8%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
6.6u
Model
66%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+11.9pt
Michael McGreevy
STL · 7:46 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-105Final2 K
Edge
+18.3%
Proj Ks
4.2
Stake
4.8u
Model
61%
Fair
48%
vs Mkt
+9.4pt
Gavin Williams
CLE · 7:10 PM ET
Under 7.5Ks
+110Final12 K
Edge
+15.3%
Proj Ks
7.3
Stake
3.5u
Model
55%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+7.3pt