Today's edges
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DeadMoneyVault

Strikeout edges — Monday, July 27, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result4-4Kelly+4.03u

Evening

5 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Keider Montero

DET · 6:40 PM ET

loss
Over 4.5Ks
-109
Final1 K
Edge
+6.2%
Proj Ks
4.9
Stake
1.7u
Model
55%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+3.2pt

VIP plays

Zack Wheeler

PHI · 6:41 PM ET

win
Under 7.5Ks
-135
Final6 K
Edge
+32.9%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
11.1u
Model
76%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+18.9pt

Merrill Kelly

AZ · 6:40 PM ET

win
Over 4.5Ks
+120
Final6 K
Edge
+16.9%
Proj Ks
4.8
Stake
3.5u
Model
53%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+7.7pt

Kyle Bradish

BAL · 6:40 PM ET

loss
Over 5.5Ks
-113
Final4 K
Edge
+15.1%
Proj Ks
6.3
Stake
4.3u
Model
61%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+8.0pt

Tyler Phillips

MIA · 6:41 PM ET

win
Over 3.5Ks
-130
Final5 K
Edge
+10.2%
Proj Ks
4.3
Stake
3.3u
Model
62%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+5.8pt

Late

3 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free play

Payton Tolle

BOS · 9:40 PM ET

loss
Under 5.5Ks
-105
Final7 K
Edge
+9.4%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
2.5u
Model
56%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+4.8pt

VIP plays

David Peterson

CHC · 7:46 PM ET

loss
Over 3.5Ks
+125
Final3 K
Edge
+25.0%
Proj Ks
3.9
Stake
5.0u
Model
56%
Fair
41%
vs Mkt
+11.1pt

Tyler Mahle

SF · 9:45 PM ET

win
Under 4.5Ks
+106
Final3 K
Edge
+9.8%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
2.3u
Model
53%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+4.8pt

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July 2026
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