Joe Ryan
MIN · 6:41 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+105Final3 K
Edge
+46.3%
Proj Ks
5.3
Stake
11.0u
Model
71%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+22.6pt
Strikeout edges — Monday, July 20, 2026
Every play graded against the result and the closing line.
Day result9-11Kelly-14.06u
Evening
4 playsNight games · lineups confirmed
VIP plays
win
Trevor McDonald
SF · 7:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+121Final3 K
Edge
+44.9%
Proj Ks
4.4
Stake
9.3u
Model
66%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+20.3pt
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · 7:06 PM ET
Over 6.5Ks
-110Final2 K
Edge
+13.6%
Proj Ks
7.2
Stake
3.7u
Model
59%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+7.1pt
Shane Baz
BAL · 7:11 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
-152Final6 K
Edge
+12.6%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
4.8u
Model
68%
Fair
57%
vs Mkt
+7.6pt
Late
16 playsLate west-coast games · lineups confirmed
Free plays
Bryce Elder
ATL · 7:16 PM ET
Under 3.5Ks
+124Final4 K
Edge
+5.8%
Proj Ks
3.8
Stake
1.2u
Model
47%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+2.6pt
Tanner Bibee
CLE · 6:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
+108Final5 K
Edge
+5.3%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
1.2u
Model
51%
Fair
45%
vs Mkt
+2.6pt
VIP plays
Dylan Cease
TOR · 7:08 PM ET
Under 7.5Ks
-135Final7 K
Edge
+37.6%
Proj Ks
5.7
Stake
12.7u
Model
79%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+21.6pt
Janson Junk
MIA · 8:11 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-104Final3 K
Edge
+32.1%
Proj Ks
4.5
Stake
8.3u
Model
67%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+16.4pt
Michael Wacha
KC · 7:41 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-115Final5 K
Edge
+30.5%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
8.8u
Model
70%
Fair
50%
vs Mkt
+16.3pt
Payton Tolle
BOS · 7:11 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-120Final9 K
Edge
+29.2%
Proj Ks
5.4
Stake
8.8u
Model
70%
Fair
52%
vs Mkt
+15.9pt
Ronel Blanco
HOU · 8:11 PM ET
Under 4.5Ks
-190Final8 K
Edge
+28.4%
Proj Ks
2.9
Stake
13.5u
Model
84%
Fair
62%
vs Mkt
+18.6pt
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL · 7:41 PM ET
Under 8.5Ks
-125Final6 K
Edge
+26.0%
Proj Ks
7.3
Stake
8.1u
Model
70%
Fair
47%
vs Mkt
+14.5pt
George Kirby
SEA · 9:41 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
+105Final6 K
Edge
+22.0%
Proj Ks
6.0
Stake
5.2u
Model
60%
Fair
46%
vs Mkt
+10.7pt
Ryan Weathers
NYY · 7:06 PM ET
Under 6.5Ks
-108Final5 K
Edge
+20.7%
Proj Ks
5.9
Stake
5.6u
Model
63%
Fair
49%
vs Mkt
+10.8pt
Jacob deGrom
TEX · 8:06 PM ET
Under 7.5Ks
-140Final6 K
Edge
+16.1%
Proj Ks
6.5
Stake
5.7u
Model
68%
Fair
55%
vs Mkt
+9.4pt
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · 8:41 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
-185Final2 K
Edge
+8.7%
Proj Ks
4.7
Stake
4.0u
Model
71%
Fair
61%
vs Mkt
+5.6pt
Kyle Freeland
COL · 8:41 PM ET
Over 4.5Ks
+118Final4 K
Edge
+8.5%
Proj Ks
4.6
Stake
1.8u
Model
50%
Fair
42%
vs Mkt
+3.9pt
Erick Fedde
CWS · 8:06 PM ET
Over 3.5Ks
+116Final6 K
Edge
+7.1%
Proj Ks
3.6
Stake
1.5u
Model
50%
Fair
43%
vs Mkt
+3.3pt
Freddy Peralta
NYM · 7:41 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-130Final6 K
Edge
+7.0%
Proj Ks
5.0
Stake
2.3u
Model
60%
Fair
54%
vs Mkt
+3.9pt
Jack Flaherty
DET · 8:06 PM ET
Under 5.5Ks
-129Final4 K
Edge
+6.7%
Proj Ks
5.1
Stake
2.2u
Model
60%
Fair
53%
vs Mkt
+3.8pt