Today's edges

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···Get the edge

Strikeout edges — Saturday, July 25, 2026

Every play graded against the result and the closing line.

Day result10-7Kelly-4.84u

Midday

2 plays

Day games · lineups confirmed

VIP plays

Casey Mize

DET · 1:11 PM ET

win

Under 5.5Ks

-116

Final3 K

Edge

+16.3%

Proj Ks

4.9

Stake

4.7u

Model

62%

Fair

51%

vs Mkt

+8.8pt

Michael Wacha

KC · 1:11 PM ET

win

Under 4.5Ks

+125

Final3 K

Edge

+7.0%

Proj Ks

4.8

Stake

1.4u

Model

48%

Fair

41%

vs Mkt

+3.1pt

Evening

6 plays

Night games · lineups confirmed

VIP plays

Dylan Cease

TOR · 4:11 PM ET

loss

Under 7.5Ks

-110

Final12 K

Edge

+29.8%

Proj Ks

6.5

Stake

8.2u

Model

68%

Fair

49%

vs Mkt

+15.6pt

Foster Griffin

WSH · 4:06 PM ET

win

Under 4.5Ks

+100

Final2 K

Edge

+29.3%

Proj Ks

3.9

Stake

7.3u

Model

65%

Fair

47%

vs Mkt

+14.6pt

Robbie Ray

SF · 4:06 PM ET

win

Under 5.5Ks

+105

Final5 K

Edge

+16.6%

Proj Ks

5.3

Stake

4.0u

Model

57%

Fair

45%

vs Mkt

+8.1pt

Ryan Johnson

LAA · 4:06 PM ET

win

Over 3.5Ks

-109

Final4 K

Edge

+15.8%

Proj Ks

4.2

Stake

4.3u

Model

60%

Fair

49%

vs Mkt

+8.3pt

Brandon Young

BAL · 7:06 PM ET

loss

Under 4.5Ks

-150

Final6 K

Edge

+12.4%

Proj Ks

3.8

Stake

4.7u

Model

67%

Fair

57%

vs Mkt

+7.5pt

Bryce Elder

ATL · 7:06 PM ET

loss

Under 4.5Ks

+106

Final8 K

Edge

+11.7%

Proj Ks

4.4

Stake

2.8u

Model

54%

Fair

45%

vs Mkt

+5.7pt

Late

9 plays

Late west-coast games · lineups confirmed

Free plays

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD · 7:16 PM ET

win

Under 6.5Ks

-117

Final5 K

Edge

+5.4%

Proj Ks

6.2

Stake

1.6u

Model

57%

Fair

51%

vs Mkt

+2.9pt

Bryan Woo

SEA · 7:16 PM ET

win

Under 5.5Ks

+110

Final5 K

Edge

+5.2%

Proj Ks

5.6

Stake

1.2u

Model

50%

Fair

44%

vs Mkt

+2.5pt

VIP plays

Paul Skenes

PIT · 6:41 PM ET

loss

Under 7.5Ks

-146

Final11 K

Edge

+24.4%

Proj Ks

6.1

Stake

8.9u

Model

74%

Fair

56%

vs Mkt

+14.5pt

Nathan Eovaldi

TEX · 7:16 PM ET

loss

Under 6.5Ks

-135

Final8 K

Edge

+15.5%

Proj Ks

5.6

Stake

5.2u

Model

66%

Fair

55%

vs Mkt

+8.9pt

Ryan Feltner

COL · 7:11 PM ET

loss

Over 4.5Ks

+130

Final4 K

Edge

+14.5%

Proj Ks

4.6

Stake

2.8u

Model

50%

Fair

40%

vs Mkt

+6.3pt

Hunter Greene

CIN · 7:16 PM ET

win

Under 6.5Ks

-113

Final3 K

Edge

+14.4%

Proj Ks

6.0

Stake

4.1u

Model

61%

Fair

50%

vs Mkt

+7.6pt

Nolan McLean

NYM · 7:16 PM ET

loss

Under 6.5Ks

-142

Final7 K

Edge

+13.0%

Proj Ks

5.6

Stake

4.6u

Model

66%

Fair

56%

vs Mkt

+7.6pt

Robert Gasser

MIL · 7:11 PM ET

win

Under 5.5Ks

-128

Final4 K

Edge

+12.7%

Proj Ks

4.9

Stake

4.0u

Model

63%

Fair

53%

vs Mkt

+7.1pt

Sean Burke

CWS · 7:11 PM ET

win

Over 5.5Ks

+105

Final10 K

Edge

+6.4%

Proj Ks

5.7

Stake

1.5u

Model

52%

Fair

45%

vs Mkt

+3.1pt

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